SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
16.73% ( 0.25) | 23.54% ( 0.22) | 59.72% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.46) | 54.42% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( -0.38) | 75.79% ( 0.38) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.05) | 45.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.43% ( 0.04) | 81.56% ( -0.05) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.34) | 17.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -0.59) | 48.78% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.73% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 14.12% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 12.12% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 59.72% |
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