SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for SJK had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
29.99% ( -0.23) | 26.06% ( -0.03) | 43.96% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( 0.02) | 51.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( 0.02) | 73.67% ( -0.01) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.15) | 31.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.17) | 68.12% ( 0.18) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( 0.14) | 23.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( 0.19) | 57.54% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.99% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.95% |
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