SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
62.7% ( -2.37) | 20.26% ( 0.82) | 17.04% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.84) | 40.24% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.87) | 62.61% ( 0.87) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( -0.9) | 12.27% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.99% ( -1.92) | 38% ( 1.91) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 1.38) | 36.93% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( 1.35) | 73.72% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.4)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.7% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.04% |
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