SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
34.94% ( 0.07) | 25.84% ( -0.02) | 39.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( 0.08) | 49.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.07) | 71.63% ( -0.07) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.08) | 27.29% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.1) | 62.73% ( -0.1) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 0.01) | 59.49% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.21% |
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