SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
36.09% ( -0.16) | 27.8% ( 0.01) | 36.11% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.05) | 57.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.04) | 78.29% ( 0.04) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.13) | 30.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.15) | 66.63% ( 0.15) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0.06) | 30.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( 0.08) | 66.62% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.1% |
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