SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
30.61% ( -0.01) | 26.94% ( -0) | 42.44% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( 0.01) | 55.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( 0.01) | 76.41% ( -0.01) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0) | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% | 69.5% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.02) | 25.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.02) | 60.62% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.61% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.44% |
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