SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.27%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | AC Milan |
22.44% ( -3.26) | 21.29% ( -0.4) | 56.27% ( 3.66) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.14% ( -1.65) | 36.86% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.96% ( -1.82) | 59.04% ( 1.82) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -3.44) | 29.56% ( 3.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( -4.41) | 65.59% ( 4.41) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( 0.56) | 13.05% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( 1.12) | 39.63% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.56) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.43)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.93)0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.77)1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.73)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.42)2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.9% Total : 56.27% |
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