Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | AC Milan |
52.08% ( 0.67) | 22.1% ( -0.18) | 25.82% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.93% ( 0.41) | 37.07% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.74% ( 0.44) | 59.26% ( -0.44) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( 0.37) | 14.43% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.64% ( 0.7) | 42.36% ( -0.7) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( -0.14) | 27.02% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.62% ( -0.18) | 62.38% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.37% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 25.82% |
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