SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
40.59% ( 0.18) | 26.08% ( 0.03) | 33.33% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% ( -0.17) | 50.91% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% ( -0.15) | 72.78% ( 0.15) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.02) | 24.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( 0.03) | 59.29% ( -0.03) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.22) | 28.92% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( -0.27) | 64.8% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.33% |
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