SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
45.85% ( 0.01) | 28.16% | 25.98% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.02) | 61.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% ( -0.01) | 81.39% ( 0.01) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0) | 26.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -0) | 62.2% ( -0) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.02) | 40.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( -0.02) | 76.73% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 25.98% |
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