SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for South Africa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for South Africa.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Benin |
59.3% ( -0.25) | 24.28% ( 0.14) | 16.41% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.94% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.51% ( -0.32) | 57.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.26) | 78.29% ( 0.25) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( -0.22) | 19.26% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( -0.36) | 50.98% ( 0.36) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.05) | 48.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.73% ( -0.04) | 83.27% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 15.24% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.41% |
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