SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | Bahrain |
60.13% ( 0.06) | 23.15% ( -0.04) | 16.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.11) | 52.99% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.09) | 74.58% ( -0.09) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( 0.06) | 17.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.38% ( 0.1) | 47.62% ( -0.1) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.03% ( 0.04) | 44.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.09% ( 0.04) | 80.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.71% |
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