SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Uganda in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uganda.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Uganda |
18.16% ( -0.04) | 29.72% ( -0.01) | 52.13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 32.93% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.98% ( -0) | 71.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.12% ( -0) | 87.88% ( 0) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.05) | 54.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.7% ( -0.03) | 87.3% ( 0.04) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( 0.03) | 64.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.16% | 0-0 @ 15.31% 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 19.31% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 12.17% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 52.12% |
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