SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 3-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
54.39% ( 0.05) | 19.35% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 73.56% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.03) | 42.25% ( 0.03) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.94% ( 0) | 9.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.19% ( 0.01) | 30.81% ( -0.01) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.04) | 19.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( -0.07) | 50.74% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.29% 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 4.79% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.26% |
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