Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
28.69% (![]() | 20.38% (![]() | 50.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.88% (![]() | 26.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.64% (![]() | 46.36% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% (![]() | 19.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% (![]() | 51.27% (![]() |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.03% (![]() | 10.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.8% (![]() | 35.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
2-1 @ 6.32% (![]() 3-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 7.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 8.53% (![]() 1-3 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 50.93% |
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