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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
SL

Southampton
0 - 5
Spurs


Fernandes (36')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Maddison (1', 45+4'), Heung-min (12'), Kulusevski (14'), Sarr (25')
Bergvall (30'), Maddison (50'), Johnson (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Spurs
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawTottenham Hotspur
28.69% (-0.273 -0.27) 20.38% (0.256 0.26) 50.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 71.73% (-1.237 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.88% (-1.487 -1.49)26.11% (1.48 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.64% (-1.928 -1.93)46.36% (1.921 1.92)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.926 -0.93)19.43% (0.92 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-1.534 -1.53)51.27% (1.528 1.53)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.03% (-0.514 -0.51)10.96% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.8% (-1.141 -1.14)35.2% (1.134 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 28.69%
    Tottenham Hotspur 50.93%
    Draw 20.38%
SouthamptonDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 6.32% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-0 @ 3.49% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.86% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 7.72% (0.344 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.13% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.204 0.2)
1-3 @ 6.28% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.271 0.27)
2-3 @ 5.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.339 0.34)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.55% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 50.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-5 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Southampton
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-3 Liverpool
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Southampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Everton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Spurs
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 3-4 Chelsea
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Roma
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man City 0-4 Spurs
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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