SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Brazil |
56.42% ( 0.03) | 23.14% ( -0.03) | 20.43% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.13) | 47.77% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 0.12) | 69.96% ( -0.12) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( 0.06) | 16.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% ( 0.1) | 46.64% ( -0.1) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( 0.07) | 37.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( 0.08) | 74.4% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 6% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.42% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43% |
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