Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 76.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
Result | ||
Spain | Draw | Georgia |
76.18% (![]() | 14.75% (![]() | 9.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.04% (![]() | 33.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.18% (![]() | 55.81% (![]() |
Spain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.62% (![]() | 7.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.38% (![]() | 26.62% (![]() |
Georgia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.82% (![]() | 45.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.92% (![]() | 81.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spain | Draw | Georgia |
2-0 @ 11.32% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 76.17% | 1-1 @ 6.91% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 14.75% | 1-2 @ 2.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.07% |
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