SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
60.42% ( 0.56) | 21.19% ( -0.1) | 18.39% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( -0.31) | 42.18% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( -0.31) | 64.58% ( 0.31) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( 0.07) | 13.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% ( 0.14) | 40.6% ( -0.14) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.68) | 36.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( -0.69) | 73.34% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.39% |
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