SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
43.09% ( -0.88) | 23.9% ( 0.01) | 33% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% ( 0.28) | 41.22% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( 0.29) | 63.61% ( -0.3) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( -0.26) | 19.38% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( -0.43) | 51.19% ( 0.42) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.65) | 24.44% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( 0.91) | 58.87% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33% |
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