SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
50.38% ( 0.22) | 23.81% ( 0.41) | 25.81% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( -2.35) | 44.98% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -2.3) | 67.33% ( 2.3) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.8) | 17.91% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( -1.4) | 48.72% ( 1.4) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -1.72) | 31.23% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% ( -2.05) | 67.57% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.55)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.81% |
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