Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
71.54% ( 0.12)	17.6% ( -0.06)	10.86% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.87% (

0.14)

42.13% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

0.14)

64.53% (

-0.13)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.54% (

0.07)

10.46% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.93% (

0.15)

34.07% (

-0.15)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.8% (

-0.01)

47.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36% (

-0.01)

82.64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 71.54%

Lokomotiv Moscow 10.86%

Draw 17.6%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
2-0 @ 12.58% 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 71.54%	1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.6%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 10.86%