SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 9 | -14 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
71.54% ( 0.12) | 17.6% ( -0.06) | 10.86% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( 0.14) | 42.13% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( 0.14) | 64.53% ( -0.13) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.54% ( 0.07) | 10.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.93% ( 0.15) | 34.07% ( -0.15) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.01) | 47.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.36% ( -0.01) | 82.64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-0 @ 12.58% 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 71.54% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.6% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 10.86% |
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