SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
20.05% ( -0.01) | 21.64% | 58.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( -0.01) | 41.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.01) | 64.11% ( 0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.02) | 34.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -0.02) | 71.26% ( 0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% | 14.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.42% | 41.58% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.05% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.51% 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.2% 0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 58.31% |
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