SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
65.58% ( -1.07) | 19.6% ( 0.07) | 14.82% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 2.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( 1.86) | 41.58% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( 1.86) | 63.98% ( -1.86) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( 0.25) | 11.87% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.83% ( 0.54) | 37.17% ( -0.54) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( 2.58) | 40.57% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( 2.25) | 77.17% ( -2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.77)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.66% Total : 65.57% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.6% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.82% |
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