Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
56.18% ( 0.51) | 23.12% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% ( 0.33) | 47.32% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% ( 0.31) | 69.55% ( -0.31) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( 0.3) | 16.65% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.5% ( 0.53) | 46.5% ( -0.54) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.9% ( -0.15) | 37.1% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% ( -0.14) | 73.89% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.7% |
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