SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
56.18% ( 0.51) | 23.12% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.33) | 47.32% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( 0.31) | 69.55% ( -0.31) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.3) | 16.65% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.53) | 46.5% ( -0.54) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.15) | 37.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -0.14) | 73.89% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.7% |
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