SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.81% ( 0.46) | 25.66% ( 0.09) | 37.52% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0.38) | 48.68% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.35) | 70.79% ( 0.35) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( 0.11) | 60.71% ( -0.11) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.48) | 25.37% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.66) | 60.16% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.52% |
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