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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
B

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 1
Boavista

Gyokeres (45', 68', 79' pen.), Paulinho (54', 90+5'), Santos (88')
Hjulmand (32'), St Juste (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Makouta (3')
Agra (32'), Malheiro (41'), Perez (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Boavista

Sporting Lisbon will look to quickly move in from their midweek Europa League disappointment as they continue their quest for the league title. Amorim's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and given their outstanding home record, we are tipping them to claim maximum points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBoavista
80.71% (0.474 0.47) 12.36% (-0.393 -0.39) 6.93% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.93% (1.345 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.28% (1.816 1.82)29.72% (-1.821 -1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.14% (2.167 2.17)50.85% (-2.173 -2.17)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.37% (0.446 0.45)5.62% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.19% (1.276 1.28)21.8% (-1.281 -1.28)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (1.179 1.18)47.09% (-1.185 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (0.874 0.87)82.55% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 80.7%
    Boavista 6.93%
    Draw 12.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawBoavista
2-0 @ 10.96% (-0.54 -0.54)
3-0 @ 10.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.592 -0.59)
4-0 @ 7.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.7% (0.224 0.22)
5-0 @ 4.36% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 3.28% (0.214 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
6-0 @ 2.09% (0.124 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.58% (0.142 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 80.7%
1-1 @ 5.74% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 12.36%
1-2 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 6.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Farense
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Estoril
Saturday, February 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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