While Boavista will be looking to find their feet, they face a star-studded Sporting Lisbon side who are unbeaten in 17 of their last 18 encounters since 2014. We are backing Amorim's side to take the positives from their draw against Arsenal and claim all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.22) 
