SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
84.62% ( -0.01) | 10.58% ( 0.08) | 4.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.04% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.88) | 30.67% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.01% ( -1.06) | 52% ( 1.07) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.89% ( -0.16) | 5.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.69% ( -0.48) | 20.32% ( 0.49) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.95) | 54.64% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.34% ( -0.59) | 87.67% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.25% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 4.81% |
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