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Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
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Sporting Lisbon
4 - 1
Man City

Gyokeres (38', 49' pen., 80' pen.), Araujo (46')
Goncalves (55'), Araujo (73'), Hjulmand (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Foden (4')
Kovacic (45'), Savio (73'), Nunes (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Man City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawManchester City
48.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.56%29.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)58.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 48.32%
    Manchester City 29.13%
    Draw 22.56%
Sporting LisbonDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, October 18 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Man City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Man City
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Fulham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League


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