SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester City |
17.22% ( -1.06) | 19.25% ( 0.36) | 63.53% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( -3.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( -3.75) | 35.09% ( 3.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.92% ( -4.3) | 57.09% ( 4.3) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( -3.43) | 33.58% ( 3.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( -3.93) | 70.22% ( 3.93) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( -0.9) | 10.52% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.78% ( -2.08) | 34.22% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.86% Total : 17.22% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.63)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.25% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 1.01)0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1.17)1-3 @ 7.34% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 4% ( -0.46)0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.36)1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)0-5 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.21)Other @ 4.03% Total : 63.53% |
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