SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.07%) and 1-3 (6.89%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Liverpool |
22.78% ( -0.03) | 20.31% ( 0) | 56.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.42% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.05) | 31.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.06) | 53.13% ( 0.06) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.05) | 26.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -0.07) | 61.48% ( 0.07) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( -0.01) | 11.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.31% ( -0.02) | 35.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 22.78% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.91% |
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