SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
36.33% ( 0) | 26.22% ( 0.01) | 37.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( -0.02) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.02) | 72.96% ( 0.02) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0.01) | 27.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.01) | 62.59% ( 0.01) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.02) | 61.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.45% |
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