Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.