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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
32.84% ( -0.16) | 20.57% ( 0.03) | 46.58% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 73.67% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.23) | 24.63% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.56% ( -0.31) | 44.43% ( 0.3) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.19) | 16.62% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( -0.33) | 46.44% ( 0.33) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.05) | 11.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( -0.11) | 36.69% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.25% Total : 32.84% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.58% |
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