SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.64% ( 0.01) | 25.34% ( -0.01) | 28.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0.03) | 49.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% ( 0.03) | 71.96% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( 0.02) | 21.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.55% ( 0.03) | 54.45% ( -0.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( 0.01) | 32.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( 0.02) | 68.64% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.64% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.01% |
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