Despite a difficult result last time out, Strasbourg have proven their ability to compete in the top half of the division and should be confident of winning on Sunday.
Lorient have been impressive in back-to-back successes, but we cannot imagine them making it three-straight wins at Stade de la Meinau this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.13) 
