SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
50.18% ( -0.07) | 24.06% ( -0.01) | 25.75% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.11) | 46.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0.1) | 68.45% ( -0.1) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( 0.01) | 18.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% ( 0.02) | 49.61% ( -0.02) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0.13) | 31.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( 0.14) | 68.34% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 25.75% |
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