Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.15) 
