SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
43.17% ( 0.02) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 31.21% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.06) | 49.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.05) | 71.63% ( 0.06) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.02) | 22.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( -0.02) | 56.63% ( 0.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.05) | 29.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.06) | 65.71% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.21% |
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