SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.68% ( 0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.04) | 33.45% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( -0.21) | 45.59% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( -0.2) | 67.92% ( 0.2) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.04) | 21.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( -0.06) | 55.1% ( 0.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.19) | 26.27% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.26) | 61.38% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.45% |
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