SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Mali |
20.58% ( 0.1) | 27.96% ( 0) | 51.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.45% ( 0.07) | 64.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.42% ( 0.05) | 83.57% ( -0.05) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.78% ( 0.15) | 47.22% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.35% ( 0.11) | 82.65% ( -0.11) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.02) | 60.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 16.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.23% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.9% Total : 51.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
