SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
39.46% ( -0.88) | 25.23% ( 0.19) | 35.31% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0.75) | 46.84% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.7) | 69.1% ( 0.7) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.77) | 23.5% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -1.13) | 57.53% ( 1.13) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.05) | 25.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( 0.06) | 60.7% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.31% |
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