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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 21.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
58.24% ( 0.53) | 19.83% ( -0.09) | 21.93% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 66.03% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.1) | 30.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.4% ( -0.12) | 51.61% ( 0.13) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.56% ( 0.11) | 10.44% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.97% ( 0.23) | 34.03% ( -0.22) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.39) | 26.28% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -0.54) | 61.4% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 21.93% |
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