Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
