SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Sao Paulo |
36.74% ( 0.05) | 28.03% ( 0.05) | 35.22% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( -0.18) | 58.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( -0.14) | 78.98% ( 0.14) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -0.06) | 30.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( -0.07) | 66.66% ( 0.06) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.16) | 31.42% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( -0.18) | 67.79% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.22% |
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