SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Emmen |
41.26% ( -0.64) | 23.24% ( 0.07) | 35.5% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.23) | 37.31% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( -0.25) | 59.53% ( 0.25) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.37) | 18.56% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( -0.62) | 49.82% ( 0.63) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.19) | 21.25% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( 0.3) | 54.17% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.63% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.5% |
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