SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
59.81% ( 0.17) | 22.04% ( -0.08) | 18.15% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( 0.18) | 46.3% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( 0.17) | 68.59% ( -0.18) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( 0.12) | 15.07% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.4% ( 0.22) | 43.6% ( -0.23) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( -0.01) | 39.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( -0) | 75.97% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| The Strongest | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 59.8% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.15% |
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