SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
21.12% ( 0.09) | 25.42% ( 0.06) | 53.45% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.11) | 55.86% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.09) | 76.97% ( 0.09) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.03) | 41.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% ( 0.03) | 78.03% ( -0.03) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.11) | 20.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( -0.16) | 53.66% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.12% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.44% |
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