SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estudiantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Estudiantes |
32.51% ( 0.02) | 29.52% ( 0.02) | 37.97% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.05) | 63.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17% ( -0.04) | 83% ( 0.03) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -0.01) | 36.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( -0.01) | 72.88% ( 0.01) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.05) | 32.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( -0.05) | 68.94% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.97% |
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