SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
44.71% ( -0.71) | 24.62% ( 0.3) | 30.67% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -1.19) | 45.45% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -1.14) | 67.78% ( 1.14) |
| Tokyo Verdy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.79) | 20.42% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.13% ( -1.27) | 52.86% ( 1.27) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.32) | 27.95% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( -0.41) | 63.58% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
